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Source Entry: H\Macintosh HD\root\Users\jee\Library\Messages\Archive\2019-07-05\larry
Summers on 2019-06-13 at 13.16.44.ichat
Service: iMessage
Start Time: 06/14/19 01:45:35 PM (582237935)
End Time: 07/05/19 01:27:01 PM (584051221)
Last Message ID: 31810
Chat Room:
Participants: jee, Larry Summers
Presentity IDs: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com,
Messages -
Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
Time: 06/14/19 01:45:35 PM (582237935)
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GUID: F6A49ADE-D7A7-45B6-A2C0-21EFA549A8BB
Message: in paris, weather great
Sender:
Time: 06/15/19 06:35:48 AM (582298548)
Flags: 1060865
Is Read: Yes
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GUID: 38066713-F526-4190-8AC8-764528A08BOA
Message: I 11 call bit later. Would u continue to dictating op Ed's for peril? Think
she was off w some guy falling in love w Buddhist art? Not sure who or what.
Sender:
Time: 06/15/19 06:48:40 AM (582299320)
Flags: 1060865
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GUID: CA84COAF-AE81-454A-9DB6-4CE8C5A72F07
Message: Drake equation probability estimation is garbage in garbage out but this not
same thing as saying concept of a probability is wrong. Do I think meaningful to talk
about prob of trump being re-elected or my getting horizontal w peril which are one
shots.
Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
Time: 06/15/19 06:54:47 AM (582299687)
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HOUSE OVERSIGHT 027777
GUID: CC1FD992-B400-4122-901D-C9381A8DFB43
Message: Cannot use the concept of probability with only one example and not a repeated
space . Gromov said its a question his children might ask and hopefully only once !
Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
Time: 06/15/19 06:56:21 AM (582299781)
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GUID: 7E3BDC8C-5EB0-471E-A8CD-4C8B42E29146
Message: Ill have red ink on my summer s dollar thank you. -It should be a ten as you
did add - with gusto-jeffrey , that is REALLY stupid
Sender:
Time: 06/15/19 06:57:46 AM (582299866)
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GUID: 5F140C9E-862B-49B2-BD06-60639A071A5C
Message: Don't know Gromov. This is clearly wrong. Soviet doctrinaire sounds like. Do u
think Question of prob that stock market will rise till end of 2019 is meaningless?
You have one strong willed authority with achievements in some other sphere. So what.
Sender:
Time: 06/15/19 06:58:41 AM (582299921)
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GUID: 98D6ED00-1E04-4E53-A9DC-8169CE4D9872
Message: U r better at understanding Chinese women than at probability theory. At
understanding movement of money too.
Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
Time: 06/15/19 07:07:53 AM (582300473)
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GUID: B93C1B4A-E109-491F-8679-CCB455F0C5OD
Message: The stock market models as a contiuous function. With a history and many
past events . More like what is the probability you being reincarnated .
Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
Time: 06/15/19 07:09:47 AM (582300587)
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HOUSE OVERSIGHT 027778
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GUID: FDEEA9DA-EEF5-4BA4-96DF-14D6F4E7285E
Message: Im more concerned that it may be like the probability of you in bed again
with peril. . 0
Sender:
Time: 06/15/19 07:21:46 AM (582301306)
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GUID: 483E68C9-192F-4ACE-9A21-9571C845544B
Message: Uh oh. Lhopital s rule
Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
Time: 06/15/19 07:33:00 AM (582301980)
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GUID: AllE58FA-FC89-4549-AC92-6F9104243756
Message: Not exactly getting within the limit is NOT the same as IN
Sender:
Time: 06/15/19 07:34:41 AM (582302081)
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GUID: BF86BF72-356F-4488-86FA-10A007F4D403
Message: Just called
Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
Time: 06/15/19 07:47:07 AM (582302827)
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GUID: 72118E11-CDA2-41B5-88CB-4B89300C7C60
Message: Try now
Sender:___________________
Time: 06/15/19 08:26:49 AM (582305209)
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GUID: B93ED8FC-2C3C-42A4-9460-2E7A6B5AD836
HOUSE OVERSIGHT 027779
Message: Just tried back
Sender:
Time: 06/15/19 08:34:09 AM (582305649)
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GUID: CA6AD780-021E-479B-AB99-585E0F40ABD7
Message: U called but I couldn't hear anything
Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
Time: 06/15/19 12:44:21 PM (582320661)
Flags: 1150981
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GUID: 8123FEC4-499A-4091-A81A-DA5CB3C7E6DE
Message: https://www.nytimes.com/reuters/2019/06/15/us/15reuters-new-jersey-
airport.html?action=click&module=Latest&pgtype=Homepage
Sender:
Time: 06/15/19 03:37:15 PM (582331035)
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GUID: 7AF77F43-6258-4EBC-8EB6-09ACB3C11340
Message: Got it
Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
Time: 06/15/19 04:54:09 PM (582335649)
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GUID: D5847834-B107-44B6-A639-5C38FEE110AB
Message: Subjective probability is a type of probability derived from an individual's
personal judgment or own experience about whether a specific outcome is likely to
occur. It contains no formal calculations and only reflects the subject's opinions and
past experience rather than on data or computation. Subjective probabilities differ
from person to person and contain a high degree of personal bias.
Sender:
Time: 06/15/19 05:11:12 PM (582336672)
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HOUSE OVERSIGHT 027780
GUID: E93782E1-FOOE-470E-8EA8-5944E5C8AEEB
Message: This is silly.
Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
Time: 06/15/19 05:13:45 PM (582336825)
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GUID: 28EDD23F-F776-4DFC-8BF5-C10EF2FFB997
Message: Exactly
Sender:
Time: 06/16/19 07:45:26 AM (582389126)
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GUID: E6D323ED-E87A-4055-886B-C3DC71044C6C
Message: Later. In meantime, strategy w peril?
Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
Time: 06/16/19 07:46:46 AM (582389206)
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GUID: 0020441A-FB79-47DB-B899-705Al2C6C659
Message: Continue to dictate -little downside
Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
Time: 06/16/19 07:48:19 AM (582389299)
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GUID: 9EE6EAC0-3143-409D-9585-F917C3B94803
Message: Re later - you can read up on questions -re life on other planets described as
" subjective probability " ie . Total nonsense
Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
Time: 06/16/19 07:48:35 AM (582389315)
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GUID: 1F69910C-BE39-45BB-AB77-6F1B32EA5516
Message: Red ink
HOUSE OVERSIGHT 027781
Sender:
Time: 06/16/19 07:51:37 AM (582389497)
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GUID: E3EC6FAD-5540-4788-AF64-44F27E630B1F
Message: Sounds like u r pessimistic re peril but agree. I think my injury is kind of
exogenous event u said would change game. On other hand life has lots of bounces.
Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
Time: 06/16/19 07:52:10 AM (582389530)
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GUID: 2774B3F8-481B-462A-BB3F-59EBA0F7C23F
Message: Not at all. Long game
Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
Time: 06/16/19 07:53:30 AM (582389610)
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GUID: 1C767735-679A-4A23-B2D5-25696C9CB759
Message: Im rarely pessimistic, i wonder what the probability is? Or in this case as it
is a binary decision appropriate to use " odds"
Sender:
Time: 06/16/19 07:57:23 AM (582389843)
Flags: 1060865
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GUID: 318A9F80-A641-481D-8ACF-F85D91C7E327
Message: On subjective probability, I think life on other planets complex example. Is
stock market one continuous event with much Or is this moment unique. If u grant
meaningfulness if talking odds on one off events we are down to semantics. Where u say
odds I say subjective probability. If u are rarely pessimistic does that discredit your
optimism. Suppose instead of peril it was dunking a basketball or going to an island w
Angela Jolie
Sender: __________________
Time: 06/16/19 08:04:21 AM (582390261)
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HOUSE OVERSIGHT 027782
GUID: 72603E56-0703-400E-B4CC-2E3FE85F627D
Message: ?
Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
Time: 06/16/19 08:06:22 AM (582390382)
Flags: 1085445
Is Read: No
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GUID: 669FD759-B135-4C2C-AA9B-33783DE756CB
Message: Odds are limited to binary outcomes. . since you are immobile. Do some
homework. . I concede your point on pessimism but would under bayesian rules. Feel
comfortable. As humans are biased toward bad outcome avoidance. . She is never ever
going to find another Larry summers. Probability ZERO
Sender:
Time: 06/16/19 08:16:09 AM (582390969)
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GUID: CCD605A6-90D4-484F-A2D8-0269C171FFC3
Message: That can't be right. There are odds on dem nominee w many outcomes possible.
For objective or subjective probability u need well defined events.
Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
Time: 06/16/19 12:55:05 PM (582407705)
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Is Read: No
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GUID: FD3E312C-E378-4798-8885-BE441B3BE005
Message: When are you able to walk again without crutches. Its wholly impolite
for me to mentally attack a cripple
Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
Time: 06/16/19 12:57:14 PM (582407834)
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GUID: 615FEF51-9D4D-4629-B310-A900B300FE7D
Message: Handicapped , not cripple
Sender:
Time: 06/16/19 01:15:31 PM (582408931)
Flags: 1060865
Is Read: Yes
HOUSE OVERSIGHT 027783
Is Invitation: No
GUID: 55C08F2F-4921-429B-8E52-CFA0C94185E8
Message: 6 or 7 weeks.
Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
Time: 06/16/19 01:16:45 PM (582409005)
Flags: 1085445
Is Read: No
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GUID: 9E3C66A8-55B9-4760-B4AF-7970FC0C5BE4
Message: On tues. I 11 have the math professor explain to you some things. And then
wait until you are unable to claim your arguments were driven by the high level of pain
killers. . on peril. Forced holding pattern in your interest
Sender:
Time: 06/16/19 01:21:58 PM (582409318)
Flags: 1060865
Is Read: Yes
Is Invitation: No
GUID: B1F044A8-CA51-4D8C-B6D8-04615DC230FE
Message: Why in my interest. Odds of success. I think another encounter at some point
one third. Sustained series one fifth. Best shot for me. She gives up on marriage.
Finds me invaluable and interesting and get her to conclude she can't have it without
romance/sex without deciding I'm weak or vengeful
Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
Time: 06/16/19 01:26:05 PM (582409565)
Flags: 1085445
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GUID: 0E98C824-A354-4D17-B0E8-984267E20828
Message: Over time. She is doomed to be with you
Sender:
Time: 06/16/19 01:27:02 PM (582409622)
Flags: 1060865
Is Read: Yes
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GUID: OFE04027-6AAD-48B6-BD4A-6A22E6F76D10
Message: Unless she marries someone else. She is more monogamous than most
Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
Time: 06/16/19 01:28:22 PM (582409702)
Flags: 1085445
HOUSE OVERSIGHT 027784
Is Read: No
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GUID: 8ECC4603-F01F-48BC-9FEB-5A2ACAF4E71E
Message: Painkillers?
Sender:
Time: 06/16/19 01:47:00 PM (582410820)
Flags: 1060865
Is Read: Yes
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GUID: B3872E56-E3F0-4814-A9FA-46920060C108
Message: Not for me??
Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
Time: 06/16/19 01:47:53 PM (582410873)
Flags: 1085445
Is Read: No
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GUID: 8F38D70D-9002-4745-B48C-DO4C9OACF3E8
Message: Your views formed by your meds?
Sender:
Time: 06/16/19 09:01:18 PM (582436878)
Flags: 1060865
Is Read: Yes
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GUID: 4ECF37F0-A4AE-4885-A68B-98CFE7DDBEDO
Message: Not formed by meds. Other than being a Bayesian rather than a pure math freak
which wrong view do I have
Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
Time: 06/17/19 02:21:14 AM (582456074)
Flags: 1085445
Is Read: No
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GUID: 2950BBD5-5155-4457-9BFA-AEAO6DF00685
Message: She continues to be in contact
Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
Time: 06/17/19 02:22:23 AM (582456143)
Flags: 1085445
Is Read: No
Is Invitation: No
HOUSE OVERSIGHT 027785
GUID: 50B6A567-D38D-474B-8B64-6BFF49FC250F
Message: Things are good - davos is set for you / she is there because program person
is chinese
Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
Time: 06/17/19 02:22:35 AM (582456155)
Flags: 1085445
Is Read: No
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GUID: 33B3A9A3-FC94-453C-AF86-1295DB1E1C48
Message: Funny
Sender:
Time: 06/17/19 05:33:18 AM (582467598)
Flags: 1060865
Is Read: Yes
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GUID: 0A6B17B8-3321-45D7-A89F-F017B93D1EAD
Message: Thx re davos. Happy to help re g20
Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
Time: 06/23/19 11:09:56 PM (583049396)
Flags: 1085445
Is Read: No
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GUID: C50180EF-188F-4DAB-ADE5-D39F692B6F86
Message: How are you
Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
Time: 06/24/19 02:05:02 AM (583059902)
Flags: 1085445
Is Read: No
Is Invitation: No
GUID: E6C43F7E-89F8-4F76-9C4D-CA266DE55C32
Message: If Bernie were to cancel all student debt. . how Is that reflected on govt
books/ ?
Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
Time: 06/24/19 02:05:13 AM (583059913)
Flags: 1085445
Is Read: No
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GUID: DE927EA4-90AF-4208-884F-0A4A4618B044
HOUSE OVERSIGHT 027786
Message: Do the borrowers get income?
Sender:
Time: 06/24/19 02:20:43 AM (583060843)
Flags: 1060865
Is Read: Yes
Is Invitation: No
GUID: AD8C74A6-F051-46EE-918D-68EC6C523DC2
Message: I doubt borrowers get income but not certain. If they did many who struggle w
debt service would get a whopping tax bill. I suspect a balance sheet impact but not a
deficit impact. Depends on whether it's framed as a give away or recognition of
reality.
Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
Time: 06/24/19 03:34:39 AM (583065279)
Flags: 1085445
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GUID: 48EA89F5-E85B-4C78-B4DF-E0B69FACF044
Message: How's the rehab. ?
Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
Time: 06/24/19 03:36:24 AM (583065384)
Flags: 1085445
Is Read: No
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GUID: 3B57FEAA-6429-442D-A7F8-005796E4AD53
Message: My mathemactics guys. All said the propensity of the common man to put numbers
on things where they don't belong is the answer to the odds probability questions et.
Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
Time: 06/24/19 03:40:53 AM (583065653)
Flags: 1085445
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GUID: 31778953-399A-4E04-9369-3450804DDD47
Message: Send peril flowers
Sender:
Time: 06/24/19 04:13:47 AM (583067627)
Flags: 1060865
Is Read: Yes
Is Invitation: No
GUID: 38694F4C-1706-42EB-BEE4-C30647C04878
HOUSE OVERSIGHT 027787
Message: Your math guys are not that worldly. I 11 call u later
Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
Time: 06/24/19 09:56:28 AM (583088188)
Flags: 1085445
Is Read: No
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GUID: 80BA418D-D8FA-4C95-AF99-A455AFD5C2D8
Message: Ok
Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
Time: 06/30/19 04:25:52 AM (583586752)
Flags: 1085445
Is Read: No
Is Invitation: No
GUID: 0152C521-06F9-4B70-87E4-0A5F2B6CE778
Message: ?? U ok?
Sender:
Time: 06/30/19 04:27:03 AM (583586823)
Flags: 1060865
Is Read: Yes
Is Invitation: No
GUID: 34975246-52F0-4BED-9DA1-4D227ED75480
Message: Yes. Sorry I will update you on developments. Will Ehud Be PM
Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
Time: 06/30/19 04:28:53 AM (583586933)
Flags: 1150981
Is Read: No
Is Invitation: No
GUID: 36171A28-D8BA-45D8-B40E-300F6682DBD5
Message: 331 441 70210. Doubtful. But 1. He is not to be underestimated. 2.
Unlikely top job. But depends on coalition. 3. Driving me crazy
Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
Time: 06/30/19 09:27:53 AM (583604873)
Flags: 1085445
Is Read: No
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GUID: 8858FAEF-7407-42E8-9B54-16B1C044A762
Message: ?
HOUSE OVERSIGHT 027788
Sender:
Time: 06/30/19 11:35:11 AM (583612511)
Flags: 1060865
Is Read: Yes
Is Invitation: No
GUID: 2B11E6E5-AE97-4B63-B229-9C2321147250
Message: Tried back
Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
Time: 06/30/19 11:39:15 AM (583612755)
Flags: 1085445
Is Read: No
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GUID: 55ABB821-38D7-41ED-807F-3EDAC529F483
Message: I just tried back
Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
Time: 06/30/19 11:53:56 AM (583613636)
Flags: 1085445
Is Read: No
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GUID: 968D4EA4-D7EA-4FA0-9569-960737DDFD91
Message: Try again
Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
Time: 07/05/19 10:39:45 AM (584041185)